pirates' top prospects fangraphs

He spent much of the season leading off for Altoona, where he slashed .282/.376/.419 and stole 24 stolen bases. He has a career .387 OBP but hasnt been able to actualize his plus raw power in games, driving the ball into the ground at a whopping 66% clip in 2021 and a 54% rate in 2022. This is the case with De Los Santos. That puts pressure on his plate discipline to improve, since right now Lopez is a little too proactive at the plate and might be exposed at the upper levels. Hes different from Kieboom (lever length) and Kiura (simpler footwork) in meaningful ways, but that entire group (and Downs) has had issues with letter-high fastballs, which Gonzales often swings underneath. Oneil Cruz, SS Video Signed: July 2nd. Ryan Vilade, LF The Pirates snagged him in Decembers Rule 5 draft, making him only the second lefty reliever on their 40-man, so hell likely be called upon for consistent use out of the big league pen in 2023. Terrero is a compact outfielder with a well-rounded skill set and strong rookie-level line. as compiled by Ben Clemens and the FanGraphs staff. Silvera, 18, is a physically mature righty who missed a ton of DSL bats even though he only sits 88-90. Youll occasionally see a low-90s changeup from Hernandez as well, but hes a relief prospect all the way and likely to stick in Pittsburghs bullpen despite below-average command. Anthony began writing over 10 years ago, starting a personal blog to cover the 2011 MLB draft, where the Pirates selected first overall. He clearly wasnt comfortable in center field during his brief time there last season, but he only played there once every couple of weeks and he isnt a firm no at the position, even if he is bad there right now. Scouting reports are. He is a 6-foot-5 20-year-old, after all. He showed a tendency to expand the zone and make some sub-optimal contact as an amateur and in his 2022 pro sample, but there are times when Johnson does this and rather than frustrate scouts and analysts, he impresses them with his ability to identify and adjust to breaking balls, his barrel feel, and his hand-eye coordination. Stratton, 26, sat 94-96 mph in 2022 and has a plus-flashing slider that he rarely throws for strikes. Still right on the cusp of graduating from prospect eligibility, Kranick made four appearances in the minors to start the 2022 season before being called up to the major league bullpen. With Endy Rodriguez around, it may not matter a ton. Alessandro Ercolani, RHP His low, short-armed slot is like a righty version of Reiver Sanmartins delivery. If you want to read me wax poetic about that you can check out my end of year review. For the second straight year, he allowed a high rate of home runs, which inflated his ERA. Matt Fraizer, CF Triolo earned industry praise for his defensive aptitude and high marks for his baseball IQ and instincts. He commands it consistently enough to his glove side to project as a starter. Pirates Prospects Daily: Bryan Reynolds Plays Left Field In His Spring Fantasy Update: 2023 Re-Draft Top 25/Dynasty Top 120 White was seen early and often as an underclassman since he went to a Philadelphia high school with University of Virginia outfielder Chris Newell, and would frequently match up against the Siani brothers during varsity play. Jim Rosati on Twitter: "RT @NorthShoreNine: wNS9+ With This time around, the Top 100 has even more Moreno types, prospects who combine . Mechanically, Burrows adds additional length to his 6-foot-2 stature with an over-the-top delivery. FanGraphs Top 43 Pirates prospects blogs.fangraphs Vote 3 comments Best Add a Comment Robert_roberts82 14 min. ago I'm surprised how far Nick Gonzalez and Hudson Head dropped in a few years. Samaniego looks like a typical second lefty out of a bullpen, sitting 92-94 mph with a deceptive, whippy arm action, and locating his fastball with precision on the arm-side part of the plate. That makes it seem all but inevitable that Chandler will eventually ditch the bat to optimize his development on the mound. He seems able to make some mid at-bat adjustments to this type of pitch but then ends up playing a guessing game with breaking balls. FanGraphs released their top 100 prospect rankings on Wednesday. Top 51 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates | FanGraphs Baseball As for the top three prospects on all six lists, their average rankings: Termarr Johnson - 28.2 Endy Rodriguez - 38.5 Henry Davis - 52 John Dreker + posts John started working at Pirates. on Twitter: "wNS9+ With @longenhagen Discussing the @fangraphs He was Rule 5 eligible after the season, and hitters who have performed that well at High-A tend to be added to their clubs 40-man roster, but Lopez doesnt have a crystal clear defensive home and his plate discipline needs a lot of seasoning, so he wasnt a real threat to be taken. Opinions around Shim vary because he offers less physical projection than is typical in the international talent space, even for an older pitcher. They all received. So compact and short to the baseball is Rodriguez that he can wait an extra beat to diagnose pitch types, which enables him to make in-flight adjustments to breaking balls, spoil the well-located ones, and crush the hangers. He pairs it with two above-average secondaries: a high-80s slider with sharp, downward movement that garnered a 48% chase rate against righties, and an 11-5 curveball with a shape that mimics the slider, only slower and looser, which helps keep batters off balance and enables him to pitch backwards. His 2022 was not as remarkable from a walk and strikeout standpoint but it was still good, as he hit .270/.376/.418 with 38 extra-base hits (pretty good for the Florida State League) and 33 steals at Low-A Bradenton. Nolasco had two years of surface-level statistical success in rookie ball and the huge exit velos to match, but now after three pro seasons, his strikeout rates show a troubling upward trend. The 2021 edition of this list featured some carping about Eric Longenhagen ranking Gabriel Moreno in the 100, because he was the exact kind of player who might not have been highly regarded in earlier eras of public prospect evaluation but who had all the markers of future success. He also has a promising sweeper slider, but he lacks typical physical projection for a teenage pitcher. 2018 Brewers batting, pitching, and fielding traditional and advanced stats. He then played for Taiwans National Team at the WBSC U23 World Cup and helped los Caimanes de Barranquilla win the Colombian Winter League and later the Caribbean Series. 11/ . He might end up becoming the player the industry hoped Francisco Meja would become. Hes a young, switch-hitting catcher with cartoonish offensive numbers (especially from a bat-to-ball standpoint) and uncommon defensive versatility, as hes played a bunch of second base and left field as well. Averaging Out the Top Prospect Rankings - Pirates Prospects Blake Cederlind, RHP De Los Santos contact metrics are a hair south of average, and thats the biggest indicator that theres real risk here, but boy, there is also real ceiling. Pittsburgh to add him to their 40-man roster after the season, indicating that hell be a big league relief option in 2023. Johnson was a well-regarded prospect basically as soon as he reached high school, and there were scouts who were so excited when they first watched him hit that they considered him a future top 5-10 pick when he was only a freshman. FanGraphs Prospects. He doesnt always look comfortable out there, but his speed makes him viable at all three spots, solidifying his role as a heavily-used role player even without the power production. But when a potentially significant DSL prospect plays for a rebuilding team, it can be difficult to find other clubs that have pro scouting reports on them. The swing length and approach combination is scary enough to keep Lopez out of the 40+ FV tier even though he has this sort of upside. Despite all of that, Priester took a hit in a lot of the national prospect outlets, dropping off quite a few Top 100 lists. Thats hard enough to do for any batter, let alone one whose schedule also includes the grueling demands of pitching development. Dombkowski is a lefty whose high-80s fastball plays up thanks to his low arm slot and excellent command over his above-average secondaries. But he was then shut down and had TJ, which ended his season early enough that he could be back in 2023. His multi-tasking fastball plays at the letters due to angle and also gets a groundball when located down, but at just 91-94 mph, its still a below-average pitch. Every once in a while he will show you the power, and hes very good at hitting pitches out away from him to the opposite field with authority, but you can get him out if you can execute location against Gonzales, and big league pitchers often do. He appears tentative on routine throws and still isnt a sure-handed defender. Given their respective shapes, its easy to see how those pitches play off of one another, and they were the reason Burrows presented a traditional relief look prior to his changeups development. Maggi is, by definition, a Major Leaguer. Sanchez runs pretty well. He has become meaningfully stronger over the last year and has more of a balanced, low-ball swing now, as opposed to the slash-and-dash style of contact in his pro debut. He could get a cup of coffee in 2023. Looking forward to fangraphs being wrong Campman92 5 min. Pedro Alvarez / 3B 2. Hunter Stratton, RHP Reports around his once-stellar defense have dimmed, and were hoping its due more to rust and lost time than to an actual regression in ability. He was passed over in the 2022 Rule 5 Draft despite his stuff quality because hes so raw as a strike-thrower. March 3, 2023. Chen began his career with 26 consecutive walk-free innings in the 2021 Florida Complex League, then spent all of 2022 at Bradenton, where he had a solid second pro season, carrying a 3.76 FIP across 98 innings. There were only three big league hitters with 100 plate appearances who had sub-70% in-zone contact rates in 2022 (Chris Morel, Brett Phillips, Eli White). Unlike the other lists released yesterday, Fangraphs has not posted their top 100 prospects list yet, so we didn't already have some idea of the top of their list. In some ways, this makes aspects of De Los Santos data even more impressive, because hes turning around soft DSL pitching with ridiculous pace. Dodgers: FanGraphs Lists Four LA Prospects on Top 100 List Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb. He sits in the upper 80s right now but has promising underlying traits and plenty of time to develop. Hernandez, also 19, sat 93-96 in 2022 and has a good-looking two-planed slider, but a relief-only delivery and a mature build. Unfortunately, he then lost the 2020 season to the pandemic and most of 2021 to a shoulder injury he sustained just 12 games into the season. Pittsburgh Pirates Top 10 Prospects Updated by Marc Hulet September 10, 2018 The Pirates system doesn't have immense depth or a long line of high-impact players but the big league club could. Middle infielder Termarr Johnson, who the Pittsburgh. Because theyre about the same age as high school draft prospects, apples-to-apples projection and tools comparisons are feasible, which then allows you to triangulate where theyd be selected in a draft based on those comparisons and get a sense of how to FV them. He will be an unmistakable fixture on Pittsburghs backfields for the next couple of years and is a power-hitting corner prospect of extreme variance. He stayed healthy throughout 2022, throwing 70.1 innings, and was more effective out of the bullpen than in his late-season starts. The Pittsburgh Pirates are hiring. Pro teams are more open to east/west fastball operation and the Pirates might be able to coax more sweep out of Harringtons slider, though Campbell does a pretty good job developing pitchers, so there may be less developmental meat on the bone here than youd guess considering hes coming from a smaller program. It felt like the Pirates were slow-playing him a little too much after the pandemic (Nolasco was easily physical enough to go to Low-A in 2021), but perhaps they simply knew he wasnt ready to parse full-season pitching. Kennedys delivery is simple, compact, repeatable, and easy-looking, and you can project heavily on his changeup because of this, though right now he often gets underneath it and it tends to cut on him. Matt Gorski, OF His swing decisions and ability to make contact out front and tap into his latent power improved throughout the season. A few months later, the Pirates emerged as the word-of-mouth favorite to sign him; he inked a deal for $750,000 in January. Theres an All-Star-caliber hit and power combination here, and while a bigger pro data sample might reveal some approach-related issues, Johnson has been one of the best hitters his age for going on a half decade and feels like a relatively high-probability high school hitting prospect. He has an interesting long-term body projection and breaking ball combination. While it may seem like a lot of time has passed since he put his name on the prospect map with his otherworldly 2018 DSL performance, Nunez is still very young; hell turn 22 during spring training, where hes a non-roster invitee. Plaz had a cartoonish line in the DSL (he slugged over .700), but hes very burly and physically mature for a 17-year-old, so wed like to see him do it stateside. Cristofer Melendez, RHP While he has a low three-quarters slot that creates natural tail on his heater, Kennedy can still create riding life at the letters. His overall pitch recognition, especially against breaking balls, has become a more noticeable issue. Cheng entered 2022 coming off an incredible season in which he slashed .311/.449/.492 with twice as many walks as he had strikeouts. Sergio Campana, CF Pirates Draft Prospect Watch: Big Weekend for LSU's Dylan Crews That makes changeup development, or anything that might help him deal with righties, important, and indeed thats already underway Solometo has begun to more heavily incorporate a mid-80s changeup into his pitch mix. Swaggerty matched the nine home runs he posted in 2019, but this time, he did so against better pitching, in fewer at-bats, and in a much less hitter-friendly park, and he improved on his walk rate by a couple of ticks. Meanwhile, Chandlers post-promotion production at the plate plummeted to a sub-.200 batting average and an OPS of just .574, thanks largely to a strikeout rate just barely south of 40%; he launched just a single dinger in his 32 Low-A games compared to three in his 14 games on the complex. Hes still on a path toward a glove-reliant bench role but is closer to having meaningful pop than he was last year. Lopez swings exceptionally hard and makes some mechanical compromises to do so, but not in a way that has impacted his performance yet. A quick overview of what FV (Future Value) means can be found here. You can see the power and athleticism in Davis lower half throughout other aspects of his game, and its an indication that he has the ability to polish this stuff up and control the running game. His finishing pitch, though, is his slider, a nasty upper-80s sweeper that generated a 50% whiff rate and 38% chase rate in 2022. That's nearly 30% of all their picks coming up as noteworthy prospects. Solometos fastball sits in the 88-92 mph range. This is the third year were delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which youll see in the position column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Could Solometo eventually throw harder? His swing is quite uphill from the left side and he can tend to swing underneath fastballs up and away from him, but overall he is very difficult to make whiff inside the strike zone despite his steep-launch style of contact. Shim is a big, physically mature righty with huge present arm strength, creeping into the upper 90s. He has a short arm action, which aids in his command, though refining his location will likely be the order of the day upon his return from injury as he continues to work out of the Pirates pen. Davis was on the IL multiple times in 2022 with issues stemming from a small nondisplaced fracture of his left wrist that he suffered when he was hit by a pitch in May. He maintained his patient approach in Altoona, and when the Double-A season ended, he was sent up to Indianapolis for the last five games of the Triple-A season.

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